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Transition Indeed: October 2025 Recap
Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 12:42pm
Tidal flooding in North Wildwood (Cape May County) on October 12th caused by a stalled nor'easter just off the coast. Photo by Greg Graham.
Tidal flooding in North Wildwood (Cape May County) on October 12th caused by a stalled nor'easter just off the coast. Photo by Greg Graham.

With the warm end of September, followed by four days in the 80°s early in October, one might have wondered when fall weather was going to arrive in New Jersey. By now, we know that by mid-month a transition to cooler weather arrived. Meanwhile, there were two notable coastal nor’easters, indicative of a transition to a cool season weather regime. Unfortunately, each resulted in notable coastal flooding and beach erosion. Yet most of NJ remains modestly to moderately dry.

Ultimately, with all the ups and downs of temperature and precipitation during this transitional month, the state averaged a bit milder and drier than normal. The statewide average temperature of 56.2° was 0.8° above the 1991–2020 mean and ranked as the 33rd mildest of the past 131 Octobers. The average high of 66.5° was 0.7° above normal, ranking 45th mildest. The average low of 45.9° was 1.0° above normal, ranking 29th mildest. The northern climate division averaged 54.6° (+1.3°, 27th mildest), the southern division 57.0° (+0.5°, 41st mildest), and the coastal division 58.7° (+1.1°, 28th mildest).

October precipitation averaged 3.79”, which was 0.40” below normal. Due to the skewed nature of the monthly precipitation time series, this ranked as the 57th wettest/75th driest. The north averaged 3.71” (-0.74”, 64th wettest/68th driest), the south 3.80” (-0.23”, 49th wettest/83rd driest), and the coast 4.23” (+0.14”, 36th wettest/96th driest). The divisional averages did not tell the story of the precipitation distribution all that well. Rather, best said that the western half of NJ was on the drier side and the east wetter.

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Latest Extremes

City, State Temp
Harvey Cedars, NJ 46
Atlantic City Marina, NJ 44
Seaside Heights, NJ 44
Lower Alloways Creek, NJ 42
Fortescue, NJ 41
City, State Temp
Hillsborough-Duke, NJ 25
Hopewell Twp., NJ 25
Berkeley Twp., NJ 26
Sandyston, NJ 26
Pequest, NJ 26
most current information as of Nov 7 2:05 AM

Latest Conditions & Forecast

New Brunswick, NJ

Rutgers University Meteorology Program

32°F

Wind

0 mph from the WNW

Wind Gust

0 mph from the WNW

Partly Cloudy
26 °F
Partly Sunny
61 °F
Showers
52 °F
Gradual Clearing
65 °F
Mostly Cloudy
45 °F
Chance Rain then Rain Likely
62 °F
Rain
44 °F
Chance Rain
53 °F
Partly Cloudy
30 °F
Partly Sunny and Breezy
46 °F
Mostly Cloudy
34 °F
Partly Sunny
53 °F
Partly Cloudy
40 °F
Mostly Sunny
52 °F

Overnight

Partly cloudy, with a low around 26. Calm wind.

Friday

Partly sunny, with a high near 61. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Friday Night

Showers, mainly before 4am. Low around 52. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Saturday

Cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, with a high near 65. West wind 5 to 10 mph.

Saturday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Calm wind.

Sunday

Rain likely, mainly after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 62. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Sunday Night

Rain. Low around 44. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Monday

A chance of rain before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 53. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Monday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 30.

Veterans Day

Partly sunny, with a high near 46. Breezy.

Tuesday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34.

Wednesday

Partly sunny, with a high near 53.

Wednesday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 40.

Thursday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 52.

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Holding On: September 2025 Recap
October 6, 2025 - 11:22am
A dry Oak Ridge Reservoir along the Sussex/Morris County border on September 15th. This part of northern NJ remains in the "Moderate Drought" category at month's end. Photo courtesy of Alex Burdi.

“Holding On.” Perhaps you’re a bit perplexed attempting to interpret the title of this month’s report. Something with respect to temperature? Certainly, the warm season hardly relinquished its grip on the Garden State during the past month. September temperatures averaged above normal, mainly due to the second half of the month being warmer than the first half. Normally the second half averages approximately 5.0°–5.5° cooler than the first, however this year’s second half was 1.0°–1.5° milder than the first half in the north and about 2° milder in the south. Something regarding...

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Flip Flopping: August and Summer 2025 Recaps
September 5, 2025 - 10:34pm
Significant beach erosion in Beach Haven (Ocean County) following days of strong wave action caused by Hurricane Erin. Photo by Beach Haven Mayor Colleen Lambert.

August and summer 2025 weather conditions vacillated between heat with plenty of humidity to cool and quite pleasant. In the mix were also some local extreme storms with damaging impacts, while there were also some extended dry intervals. Flip flopping seems to appropriately sum up this Jersey summer in the weather department. This report first focuses on August conditions across the Garden State, then provides a summary of summer (June–August) conditions. New Jersey averaged 2.16” for August. This is 2.41” below normal, which ranks 13th driest dating back to 1895. The northern climate...

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Danger Lurks: July 2025 Recap
August 6, 2025 - 4:47pm
Debris and rubble in the aftermath of flash flooding that occurred on July 14th in North Plainfield (Somerset County).

Tragically, this July demonstrated how weather danger lurks across the Garden State during summer months. July thunderstorm winds felled trees that resulted in three fatalities, lightning strikes killed two and injured others, and flash flooding took two lives and put countless others in perilous situations. No doubt, the often-relentless heat and humidity led to medical issues for those most vulnerable, be they old, young, infirmed, employed outdoors, or living in stifling locations devoid of air conditioning. Temperature-wise, the July statewide average temperature of 78.1° was 2.7°...

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Wooly and a Bit Wild: January 2015 Recap

February 6, 2015 - 4:37pm -- Dave Robinson

Sea smoke photo

The first month of 2015 was a cold one with above-average precipitation. The form of the precipitation varied quite a bit at any particular location as well as across the state over the course of individual events. The statewide average temperature of 27.7° was 3.5° below normal, making it the 32nd coldest January since records commenced in 1895. Precipitation (rain and melted snow) averaged 4.78", which is 1.30" above normal and ranks as the 20th wettest January. Statewide, snowfall averaged 8.6", which is 1.5" above normal and ranks as the 41st snowiest January of the past 121 years. Storms of various intensities arrived every three days throughout the month, and included an impactful freezing rain and flooding event and two moderate snowstorms during the final two weeks. Several bitter cold episodes were punctuated by strong winds and frigid wind chills.

A Dreary Month, and Shades of Years Past: December and 2014 Annual Summary

January 5, 2015 - 9:58pm -- Dave Robinson

Coastal Flooding from Dec 9 Nor'easter

Clouds prevailed in this darkest month of the year, making for some rather persistent dreary conditions. Until the last week of the month there were only two days (the 4th and 7th) where the sun outperformed the clouds across NJ. At least the year ended on a bright note, with lots of sun during five of the last six days. With the clouds came a fair amount of precipitation, and given milder-than-normal conditions, the vast majority was in the form of rain. Statewide precipitation averaged 4.79". This is 0.88" above the 1981–2010 mean and ranks as the 27th wettest December since 1895. The mean temperature of 38.9° was 3.3° above average and ranked as the 15th warmest on record. Snowfall averaged 0.6", some 3.5" below average and ranked as the 19th least snowy December. A strong nor'easter brought strong winds, multiple inches of rain, minor to moderate coastal flooding, and beach erosion on the 9th.

ONJSC's Top 10 NJ Weather and Climate Events of 2014

January 4, 2015 - 12:00pm -- Dave Robinson

Snow removal at Metlife Stadium

Listed below is the Office of the NJ State Climatologist's ranking of the top 10 weather and climate events of 2014. More about each event can be found in the monthly narratives posted on njclimate.org. You might be tempted to rearrange the rankings, particularly as some of the events may have affected you more than others higher on the list. That's the enjoyment (and frustration!) of lists. This was the second consecutive year that was not too eventful for NJ weather and climate (goodness, we remain stunned by 2011 and 2012). Of course there is still plenty to talk about.

Winter Weather Trends: El Niño in New Jersey

December 19, 2014 - 4:41pm -- Jack McCarty

Global Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies

As we have mentioned in our past evaluations of the El Niño’s significance in the summer and fall, we are back again to analyze the wintertime impacts of a developing El Niño on New Jersey weather. An El Niño occurs when warmer-than-average waters exist in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean, specifically near the equatorial latitudes. This warming is due to a weakening of winds moving to the west, which typically transport warmer waters to the western Pacific, permitting cooler water to upwell to the surface in the east. When these winds are weaker or if they reverse direction, warm water stays in the east. The warmer sea surface temperatures in the east and the altered atmospheric flow pattern create a new dynamic between the ocean and atmosphere. The newly formed interaction sets up distinct and repetitive weather patterns across the world. No two El Niño events are alike; they vary depending on the magnitude and location of where the largest temperature anomalies are found. However, each one tends to alter weather patterns outside the overall norm.

A Cool Damp Month, and All Things Considered, a Rather Average Season: November and Fall 2014 Recap

December 7, 2014 - 7:32pm -- Dave Robinson

Wantage snow Nov 27

While cooler conditions took some time to arrive in New Jersey this fall, once here they locked in for the most part, as the November average temperature of 41.9° was 3.7° below the 1981-2010 average. This ranks as the 24th coolest November of the past 120 years. November precipitation (rain and melted snow) averaged 4.58" across the state. This is 0.94" above average and ranks as 31st wettest. On two occasions measurable snow was reported in northern and central areas, with these regions, respectively, picking up 4.6" and 1.9" on average for the month, with over a foot accumulating at higher elevations. Despite no snow accumulating in the south, the statewide average was 1.7", which is 1.3" above average. It is only the second November to average above an inch since 1995, the other in 2012. A Thanksgiving eve storm delivered a white Thanksgiving to central and northern counties.

Mild With Some Beneficial Rain: October 2014 Recap

November 3, 2014 - 4:57pm -- Dave Robinson

Waterspout photo

The tenth month of 2014 bucked the recent tendency toward dry conditions in northern New Jersey and proved to be the warmest month compared to normal since October 2013. Statewide, the October average temperature of 57.0° was 2.2° above the 1981-2010 average. This ranks as the 23rd warmest (tied with 1955) in 120 years (since records began in 1895). The average precipitation across NJ was 3.78". This is 0.15" below the mean and ranks as the 51st wettest October. Rainfall was above average in what have been some of the driest northern counties since mid summer. Still, from Mercer and Middlesex counties northward, precipitation has only been 50-75% of normal the past three months. Thus this area is still considered "abnormally dry" on the US Drought Monitor map.

El Niño Potential: Fall Impacts

October 15, 2014 - 10:12pm -- Jack McCarty

Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies

Early this past summer, we reported on the potential impacts of a developing El Niño event in the tropical Pacific on summertime weather in New Jersey. While El Niños can impact the weather worldwide, we found that New Jersey's weather doesn't fluctuate with an El Niño event. This year's summer (June-August) proved to be rather comfortable, with the statewide average temperature 0.8° below the 1981-2010 average , and precipitation 0.26” above the 1981-2010 average. These mild conditions replicated what we expect out of an El Niño summer. Now we’re back to tell you the story for the fall.

Increasingly Dry in the North: September 2014 Recap

October 6, 2014 - 3:04pm -- Dave Robinson

Dry grass

Combined with below-average precipitation in August, the northern half of New Jersey has become quite dry. Conversely, rainfall has been more common in the south, thus despite a drier-than-average September, the two-month total is slightly above average. Looking first at September, statewide precipitation averaged 2.82". This is 1.25" below the 1981-2010 average and ranks as the 46th driest September since 1895. From Hunterdon, Somerset, and Union counties northward, only 1.49" fell, which is 3.00" below average and ranks as 7th driest. The southern counties averaged 3.47", which is 0.40" below average and ranks as 56th wettest.

Heat Events in New Brunswick: A Climatological Analysis

September 16, 2014 - 1:27pm -- Jack McCarty

Heat wave photo

The summertime in New Jersey is characterized by warm temperatures that give some relief from cold and dreary wintertime conditions. However, amongst pleasant summer days, the atmosphere can align in a way that makes the heat on other days rather unbearable — something that we commonly refer to as a heat wave. Heat waves have a large impact on public health, utilities, infrastructure and more, which is why we often hear the media discussing heat waves across the nation. While heat waves may call for a day at the beach, they're also a cause for public concern.

Comfort Reigns: August and Summer of 2014 Recaps

September 3, 2014 - 5:50pm -- Dave Robinson

Surf photo

A month ago, many NJ residents felt July was quite cool, while in fact it was just 0.4° below the 1981-2010 mean. Such was not the case in August, which truly was on the cool side. The statewide average temperature of 71.0° was 2.4° below average. It ranks as the 32nd coolest since 1895. Even when compared to the 1895-present mean, the month was 1.5° below average. Days with a maximum temperature of 90° or greater were hard to find, certainly a characteristic of the summer of 2014, which will be discussed later in this narrative.

Precipitation varied widely across the Garden State in August, rather typical of a summer month in these parts. Individual station totals ranged from 12.33” in Lacey Township (Ocean County) to 1.01” in Hillsborough (Somerset). When monthly totals from several dozen long-term stations were averaged together, the statewide precipitation was 4.39”. This is 0.18” above the 1981-2010 mean (0.26” below the 1895-present mean) and ranks as the 53rd wettest of the past 120 Augusts. It must be noted that the heavy rain that fell after 8 AM on the 31st is not accounted for in most August station totals. For the monthly state average, only several stations that observe at midnight have their full August 31st totals included, while monthly totals at most other National Weather Service Cooperative stations only run through the morning of the 31st. For more on this observing practice, see the April 2014 report.

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